SouthBay Research is the most accurate employment report forecaster in the United States.
The difference between South Bay's 2011 forecasts and the actual BLS Non-Farm Private Payroll report was smaller than any other forecaster in the Bloomberg consensus survey.
Comparison with Top 5 Bloomberg Forecasters
(Additional Bloomberg Economist Survey performance detail here)
February Payroll Forecast
(Abridged version. Complete report & data available on request)
February Heating Up
Key Takeaway: Payroll growth boosted by warm weather
- Hiring grows but at a slower pace
- Layoffs slow significantly
January Payroll Forecast
(Abridged version. Complete report & data available on request)
January Cooling Down
Key Takeaway: Payroll growth is slowing across the board
- Seasonal jobs eliminated
- Broad-based hiring slowdown
December Payroll Forecast
(Abridged version. Complete report & data available on request)
Expect A Strong December
Key Takeaway: December Payrolls will be boosted by core job growth and lower layoffs
- December showed broad-based strength
- January could be ugly: accelerated layoffs, seasonal jobs eliminated
- Future Core Job growth at risk from challenging macro environment